TRUE WEST BANK/GAZA DEMOGRAPHICS
What is the True Demographic Picture in the West Bank and Gaza? - Bennett Zimmerman and Sergio DellaPergola
Zimmerman: The American Research Initiative team examined the published population figures of the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics and found a 1.4 million gap. Our research indicates that the PA population is closer to 2.4 million than to the 3.8 million figure reported by the PCBS. These numbers indicate that the Jewish population between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea stands at 60% Jewish to 40% Arab, similar to the ratio that existed in 1967.
DellaPergola: Out of a total population between the river and the sea of 10,263,000, 51% are Jews and 3 percent are non-Jewish members of Jewish households. The high level of fertility of the Arabs gives them demographic momentum. By 2020, on the whole territory, according to a medium projection which assumes a decline of Arab fertility, Jews will be about 47% of the total. (Institute for Contemporary Affairs-Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
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